Data show that from 2020 to 2023, 130 million electric bicycles will be sold worldwide, and the number of electric vehicles will be rolled.
Battery-powered will redefine the transportation revolution in the next ten years, and the vehicles leading this trend will not be Tesla Model 3 or Tesla Pickup Cybertruck, but electric bicycles.
For many years, electric bikes have been a huge breach in most countries. From 2006 to 2012, electric bicycles accounted for less than 1% of all annual bicycle sales. In 2013, only 1.8 million electric bicycles were sold throughout Europe, while customers in the United States purchased 185,000 electric bicycles.
Deloitte: Sales of electric bikes will surge in the next few years. However, this situation is beginning to change: improvements in lithium battery technology and the shift of the city's center of gravity from gasoline-powered cars to zero-emission cars. Today, analysts say they expect sales of electric bikes to grow at an alarming rate over the next few years.
Deloitte released its annual technical, media and telecommunications forecasts last week. Deloitte said it expects to sell 130 million electric bikes worldwide between 2020 and 2023. It also states that "by the end of next year, the number of electric bicycles on the road will easily exceed that of other electric vehicles."
The International Energy Agency's "Global Electric Vehicle Outlook 2019" states that by 2025, only 12 million electric vehicles (cars and trucks) are expected to be sold.
The sharp increase in sales of electric bikes seems to herald a huge change in the way people travel.
In fact, Deloitte predicts that the proportion of people going to work by bike will increase by 1 percentage point from 2019 to 2022. It may not seem like much on the surface, but because of the low base, the difference between the two will be amazing.
Tens of billion more bike rides each year mean fewer car trips and lower emissions, and help improve traffic congestion and urban air quality.
"E-bike is the best-selling electric travel tool!"
Jeff Loucks, executive director of Deloitte Technology, Media and Telecommunications Center, said that sales of electric bikes across the United States will not increase simultaneously. He predicts that cities have the highest utilization rates.
Loucks told me: "We are seeing more and more people entering the heart of the city in the United States." "If no one chooses electric bikes, this will place a huge burden on roads and public transportation systems."
Deloitte is not the only organization predicting the electric bike revolution. Guidehouse (formerly Navigant) analyst Ryan Citron told me he expects 113 million electric bikes to be sold between 2020 and 2023. Although his number is slightly lower than Deloitte, he still foresees a surge in sales. "Yes, electric bikes are the best-selling electric vehicle on the planet!" Citron added in an email to The Verge.
Sales of electric bikes have grown steadily over the years, but still account for only a small portion of the overall bicycle market in the United States.
According to data from the market research company NPD Group, from 2016 to 2017, sales of electric bicycles have achieved an astonishing 91% increase, and then from 2017 to 2018, they have increased 72% to an astonishing $ 143.4 million. Since 2014, sales of electric bikes in the United States have increased more than eightfold.
However, Matt Powell of NPD believes that Deloitte and other companies may slightly overestimate sales of electric bikes. Powell said Deloitte's forecast "seems to be very high" because his company only predicts 100,000 e-bike sales in the United States in 2020. He also said that he disagrees with the view that sales of electric bikes will exceed electric cars in the next few years. NPD still acknowledges that the fastest growing segment of the bicycle market is electric bicycles.
Electric bikes have some clear advantages over electric cars-they are cheaper, easier to charge, and don't require significant investment in supporting infrastructure-but sometimes electric cars can sell more than electric bikes.
But if cities make the necessary changes to encourage more people to ride bicycles-such as establishing a network of protected bike lanes, restricting car use in certain areas, and providing safe places to lock and store bicycles-this is electric Why bicycles can keep their top spot in the electric transport system.